Strong Finish, Fog

Ah, the life of a broken down horse player. Driving rain and thunderstorms in Kentucky yesterday. Could be a sloppy track for the Derby today, or then again, maybe not. Just another factor to take into account. Is it just arrogance to think that by looking at past performances, by weighing what we think are the relevant, critical factors, we can somehow "dope out" the winning pick?

So, what if there are waves of mud today? From my in-depth studies, only one pony has won on a sloppy track - Visionaire. It happened at Aqueduct in March. 1/16 miles. The grade 3 Gotham. He started out 9th and then somehow finished first by a nose. No more details in the Daily Racing Form because I guess visibility was down to zero. Here is the description of the winner's trip: Strong finish, fog.

Now that sounds like a a way of life too - and of course, it would take a Visionaire to find their way to the finish line in the fog!