I think we've entered the Mitt Romney floundering phase of the 2012 election. Mitt is a doomed candidate. No one likes him, and the GOP platform is a desiccated piece of warmed over shit that just doesn't pass the smell test.
Yes, of course, it will be a "close" election. The country is deeply divided. I guess it's North vs. South, City vs. Country, Progressives vs. Political Neanderthals...
And the GOP is a deeply dysfunctional political party, that has not recovered from the Bush Debacle. It's an angry party, a retro-party, it's anti-woman, anti-gay, anti-minority, anti-immigrant, anti-future. And there are a bunch of angry people willing to back their Floundering Candidate...
But this time around I just don't think Flounder can pull it off. Even if the GOP tries to steal the vote, or prevent folks from voting... sometimes you just can't sell a shit sandwich... it's just too damn shitty!